WS #10752
The dominant narrative remains the escalating global tech selloff, now entering a new phase with Micron's (MU) blowout earnings actually acting as a negative catalyst due to margin shock and demand destruction fears. MU reported ~$41.5B revenue, EPS $25.11, 84.9% gross margins, and guided ~$50B vs $43.58B consensus, but the stock faded from +16% to -5% premarket as investors focused on the cost pass-through to AAPL and MSFT. AAPL is off 5-6% on memory cost concerns, and MSFT faces additional headwinds from an analyst warning of a crash to $250 and a 55% tail risk flagged from antitrust and AI dependencies. The tech rout is confirmed by Bloomberg's 'Global Stocks Fall as Tech Volatility Weighs' headline and Grantham's call to flee US equities before an epic crash. Countering the bearish tech narrative, Iran's claim to authority over the Strait of Hormuz is escalating, with NYT reporting Iran pressed its claim after attacking a cargo ship, and oil prices are sinking as traders bet on more Iranian oil coming to market (WTI -3.07%, Brent -3.27%). This creates a complex cross-current: geopolitical risk supports oil, but the actual price action shows crude falling on supply expectations. Additionally, Volkswagen's plan to cut 100,000 jobs and close four German plants signals deepening industrial weakness in Europe, which could spill over to US auto and industrial sectors. On the positive side, ACADIA Pharmaceuticals received a positive EU CHMP opinion for DAYBU in Rett syndrome, driving shares higher, and Titan Mining surged 34% on a US Army partnership. The Russia-Ukraine POW exchange (160 each) is a minor de-escalation signal but unlikely to move markets.
Topics
Key developments
- Micron's blowout earnings trigger margin shock for AAPL and MSFT, deepening tech selloff
- Iran presses Strait of Hormuz claim after attacking cargo ship; oil prices sink on supply expectations
- Volkswagen plans to cut 100,000 jobs and close four German plants
- ACADIA Pharmaceuticals receives positive EU CHMP opinion for DAYBU in Rett syndrome
- Heathrow warns on global travel demand, cuts 2026 passenger forecast by 5-10%
- Russia and Ukraine exchange 160 POWs each